Spatial effects of tourism economy based on Spatial Durbin model: an empirical study from Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region

The benefit of regional tourism space development is an essential basis for the evolution of high-quality tourism. Developing high-quality tourism in Guangxi is a crucial way to promote local economic development. The paper uses the relevant index data of Guangxi tourism development from 2010 to 2021. Explore the space-time effect of the tourism economy through the spatial Dubin model. At the same time, geographical detectors are used to analyze the primary and secondary factors and interactive effects of tourism economic development. The studies show: (1) The tourism economic income of Guangxi shows a spatial negative correlation. (2) Each explanatory variable promotes the tourism economic income in the local and surrounding cities. (3) The total number of tourists received, the number of A-level and above scenic spots, and the number of tourism institutions are the core factors for developing tourism economic income. The level of tourism development is the result of the joint promotion of multiple industries and multiple subjects. Regional coordinated development will drive local economic development and improve residents' income and consumption ability. This paper expounds on the primary and secondary factors affecting the income of the tourism economy in Guangxi. We also analyzed various explanatory variables' influence degrees and interpretation intensities on local and surrounding tourism.

区域旅游空间开发效益是旅游业高质量发展演进的重要基础。推动广西旅游业高质量发展，是促进地方经济发展的关键举措。本文采用2010-2021年广西旅游业发展相关指标数据，借助空间杜宾模型（Spatial Dubin Model）探究旅游经济的时空效应；同时采用地理探测器（Geographical Detector）解析旅游经济发展的主次影响因素及其交互效应。研究结果表明：（1）广西旅游经济收入呈现空间负相关特征；（2）各解释变量均对本地及周边城市的旅游经济收入产生正向驱动作用；（3）接待游客总人次、A级及以上景区数量、旅游机构数量是影响旅游经济收入增长的核心因素。旅游业发展水平是多产业、多主体共同推动的结果，区域协同发展能够带动地方经济增长，提升居民收入与消费能力。本文阐明了影响广西旅游经济收入的主次因素，并分析了各解释变量对本地及周边地区旅游经济的影响程度与解释力度。