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Algorithm-Driven SVARs: Navigating the Wilderness of Big Data

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NBER2026-08-01 更新2026-08-21 收录
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Every SVAR result is conditional on two choices: the restrictions that identify the shock and the variables on which they operate. The literature disciplines the first; the second is chosen by hand. We develop a Bayesian methodology that constructs information sets, uses an out-of-sample criterion,

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2026-08-01
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