Replication Data for: "Do wars abroad affect attitudes at home?"

Can foreign conflicts affect attitudes in nonbelligerent countries? A large literature studies the effects of conflicts and wars on countries that are directly involved, without considering the potential consequences for other nonbelligerent countries that might nevertheless be threatened. To address this question, we examine how the Russian invasion of Ukraine affected 12 economic and political attitudes using survey data covering eight European countries. We use a natural experiment whereby the timing of the invasion overlapped with the fieldwork of a cross-national individual-level survey in these eight countries. We find that the war increased support for democracy, redistribution, support for Europe, and immigration, while it reduced authoritarian attitudes. Our findings highlight the impact of foreign conflicts on a wide range of attitudes in countries that are externally threatened, but neither directly involved militarily, nor necessarily very close to the conflict.

外国冲突是否会影响非交战国的民众态度？现有大量研究聚焦于冲突与战争对直接卷入国的影响，却未考量此类冲突对其他即便可能受其波及的非交战国所可能带来的潜在后果。为解答这一问题，本研究借助覆盖八个欧洲国家的调查数据，考察俄罗斯入侵乌克兰对当地民众12项经济与政治态度的影响。本研究采用自然实验（natural experiment）设计：此次入侵的时间节点，与上述八国的跨国个体层面调查（cross-national individual-level survey）的实地调研阶段恰好重合。研究结果显示，这场战争提升了民众对民主、再分配（redistribution）、欧洲一体化以及移民的支持度，同时降低了威权主义态度。本研究结果凸显了外国冲突对那些外部受到威胁、既未直接卷入军事冲突、也未必与冲突地域十分邻近的国家的多元民众态度所产生的影响。