NOAA's Subseasonal Experiment

The panel recommends that SubX be continued for an additional period of development, assessment and experimentation that also informs ongoing operations. The future work should further strengthen the linkages between operational and research modeling centers, advance development of methods to optimize information extraction from the multi-model output, support exploring more efficient pathways to model enhancements (indirectly supporting other major modeling initiatives), as well as document and analyze use cases to ensure NOAA is meeting the needs of the fullest set of stakeholders. During the continuation period, the governing body should develop and scrutinize approaches for optimizing the operational component for maximum decision-support impact, as well as help forge the underlying research and research-to-operations components to identify optimum pathways for improvements. The panel also recommends that the program be moved out from the Climate Testbed (CTB), and a governing body be established under a multi-agency program office such as the National Earth System Prediction Capability (National ESPC) or the Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology (OFCM). Realignment could facilitate better linkages to other proven programs that have delivered benefits from research to operations. 2019 OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) OWAQ (Office of Weather and Air Quality) Submitted https://doi.org/10.25923/azn6-ff23 Public Domain 1878本专家小组建议，延续SubX项目的后续开发、评估与试验工作，相关工作同时可为当前业务运行提供参考支撑。后续研究应进一步强化业务建模中心与研究建模中心之间的联动联系，推进多模型输出信息提取方法的优化开发，探索提升模型性能的更高效路径（此举可间接支撑其他主流建模项目），同时梳理并分析各类应用场景，以确保美国国家海洋和大气管理局（National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA）能够满足最广泛的利益相关方的需求。在项目延续周期内，项目管理机构应制定并审慎审查相关方案，优化业务组件以实现最大化的决策支持效益，同时推动搭建核心研究以及研究转业务的相关组件，以确定最优的性能提升路径。本专家小组同时建议，将SubX项目从气候试验台（Climate Testbed, CTB）中移出，并依托多机构项目办公室设立专属管理机构，例如美国国家地球系统预测能力办公室（National Earth System Prediction Capability, National ESPC）或联邦气象协调员办公室（Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, OFCM）。此次机构调整可加强与其他已实现研究转业务并产生实际效益的成熟项目之间的联动对接。2019年，由海洋与大气研究办公室（Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, OAR）、天气与空气质量办公室（Office of Weather and Air Quality, OWAQ）提交 https://doi.org/10.25923/azn6-ff23 公共领域 1878