Turning Point in Foreign Policy (April 2023)

The study on the turning point in foreign policy was conducted by dimap on behalf of the Press and Information Office of the Federal Government. During the survey period 17.04.2023 to 28.04.2023, the population aged 16 and over in Germany was surveyed in telephone interviews (CATI) on the following topics: attitudes of the population to Germany´s role in the world, to the USA, Russia and China, to questions of defence and arms supplies as well as to the feeling of security in Germany. Respondents were selected by a multi-stage random sample from an ADM selection frame including landline and mobile phone numbers (dual-frame sample).<br>Germany´s role in the world today and in the future: interest in foreign policy; informedness about foreign policy; assessment of Germany´s influence in the world; change in Germany´s influence in the world over the last ten years; change in Germany´s reputation over the last twelve months; assessment of Germany´s conduct towards other states in terms of asserting its own interests; assessment of the German government´s foreign policy actions with regard to global problems; assessment of the German government´s domestic policy actions with regard to problems in Germany; assessment of the increase in defence spending in response to the Ukraine war as correct; assessment of the mutual assistance commitment of NATO member states.

Germany´s relationship with various major powers (China, Russia, USA): assessment of relations between Germany and the following countries: Great Britain, France, USA, Russia and China; perception of the countries USA, Russia and China in recent weeks: in the German media, in foreign media, in social networks on the internet; conversations with family members, friends or acquaintances about one of the following countries: USA, Russia, China; personal contacts with people in the aforementioned countries; assessment of the countries USA, Russia and China as trustworthy vs. not trustworthy, economically strong vs. economically weak, militarily strong vs. militarily weak, threatening vs. not threatening.

Area of tension between global trade relations and value-based foreign policy: Germany´s excessive economic dependence on the USA, Russia, China; opinion on Germany´s economic cooperation with China (expand, maintain as before or reduce); agreement with the following statement: for me, when dealing with China, the representation of Germany´s economic interests is more important than the commitment to human rights on the ground; assessment of the German government´s arms deliveries to Ukraine; opinion on the topic of German arms exports (to all countries and regions without restriction, to crisis regions only if German interests are affected there, to crisis regions not at all, only to Germany´s allies, generally no arms exports from Germany).

Internal security: feeling of security in Germany; changes in internal security in Germany over the last ten years; current threats to democracy in Germany; reasons for threats to democracy in Germany (open).

Demography: sex; age (grouped); federal state; West or East Berlin; size of locality; size of household; number of children in household; education: highest school-leaving qualification; school-leaving qualification aspired to; party preference.

Additionally coded were: current respondent number; weighting factor.

这项关于外交政策转折点的研究由dimap代表德国联邦政府新闻和信息办公室开展。在2023年4月17日至28日的调查期间，通过计算机辅助电话调查（CATI）对德国16岁及以上人群就以下主题进行了访问：民众对德国全球角色、对美国、俄罗斯及中国的态度，对国防与武器供应问题的看法，以及在德国的安全感。受访者通过多阶段随机抽样从包含固定电话和手机号码的ADM抽样框架中选取（双框架样本）。<br>当今及未来德国的全球角色：对外交政策的兴趣；对外交政策的了解程度；对德国全球影响力的评价；过去十年德国全球影响力的变化；过去十二个月德国声誉的变化；对德国在维护自身利益方面与他国交往表现的评价；对德国政府在全球问题上外交政策行动的评价；对德国政府在国内问题上内政行动的评价；对因乌克兰战争而增加国防开支是否正确的评价；对北约成员国互助承诺的评价。<br>德国与各主要大国（中国、俄罗斯、美国）的关系：对德国与英国、法国、美国、俄罗斯及中国关系的评价；近几周在德国媒体、外国媒体、互联网社交网络中对美国、俄罗斯及中国的认知；与家人、朋友或熟人就美国、俄罗斯或中国进行的交谈；与上述国家人员的个人接触；对美国、俄罗斯及中国是否可信、经济强弱、军事强弱、是否构成威胁的评价。<br>全球贸易关系与基于价值观的外交政策之间的紧张领域：德国对美国、俄罗斯、中国的过度经济依赖；对德国与中国经济合作的看法（扩大、维持现状或减少）；对以下陈述的认同度：对我而言，与中国交往时，维护德国经济利益比在当地践行人权承诺更重要；对德国政府向乌克兰交付武器的评价；对德国武器出口主题的看法（无限制向所有国家和地区出口、仅向影响德国利益的危机地区出口、绝不向危机地区出口、仅向德国盟友出口、德国总体不出口武器）。<br>国内安全：在德国的安全感；过去十年德国国内安全的变化；当前德国民主面临的威胁；德国民主受威胁的原因（开放式问题）。<br>人口统计学：性别；年龄（分组）；联邦州；西柏林或东柏林；居住地区规模；家庭规模；家庭子女数量；教育：最高学历；期望获得的学历；政党倾向。<br>此外还编码了：当前受访者编号；权重系数。