Replication Data for: The Spillover of the US Capitol Insurrection: Reducing Expressed Support for Domestic Far-right Parties

Although far-right insurrections often catch worldwide attention, little is known about whether and how these autocratization events affect other countries. This paper studies the spillover of a prototype of such coup attempts—the January 6th Capitol insurrection. I argue that a far-right insurrection abroad can trigger a transnational learning process, which increases the salience of the far-right’s anti-democratic potential. Consequently, due to shaming and change in voting calculus, citizens are less likely to support the domestic far-right party. To test this expectation, I use two panel datasets in Western Europe fielded amid the Capitol insurrection. Both analyses show that the expressed support for domestic far-right parties decreases after this autocratization event. I discuss how these findings enrich the literature on autocratization, far-right, and transnational learning.

尽管极右翼叛乱往往引发全球舆论关注，但学界目前对这类威权化（autocratization）事件是否会、以及如何对其他国家产生影响仍知之甚少。本文以这类未遂政变的典型样本——1月6日国会山骚乱为研究对象，探讨其溢出效应。本文提出，境外极右翼叛乱可触发跨国学习（transnational learning）进程，提升极右翼反民主潜能的社会显著性。在此基础上，受道义谴责与投票决策考量转变的影响，民众对本国极右翼政党的支持意愿会有所降低。为验证这一理论预期，本文使用了国会山骚乱期间在西欧开展的两项面板（panel）数据集开展分析。两项分析均显示，该威权化事件发生后，民众对本国极右翼政党的公开支持率有所下降。本文最后探讨了上述研究发现如何丰富威权化、极右翼议题以及跨国学习领域的相关研究文献。