Summery the results of the interaction terms.
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This study rigorously examines the complex interplay between financial technology (Fintech), financial inclusion, and their collective effects on economic growth in developing nations. Employing a robust panel regression methodology enhanced by Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) and Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) techniques, this research analyzes an extensive dataset comprising 108 countries categorized into low, lower-middle, and upper-middle income levels across four pivotal years (2011, 2014, 2017, and 2021). Our analysis focuses on two key dimensions of Fintech—specifically, the adoption of digital payments and e-commerce via mobile technologies—and traditional financial access indicators, including the density of ATMs, bank branches, and active banking accounts. The findings demonstrate a predominantly positive effect of Fintech variables on economic growth, particularly through improved digital payment systems. Conversely, traditional financial inclusion metrics frequently show a negative correlation with growth trajectories. Notably, our research underscores a significant positive interaction between digital payment usage and ATM density, indicating a synergistic relationship that enhances the performance of traditional banking systems. In contrast, a substitutability effect arises, where increased dependence on mobile technologies diminishes the relevance of traditional financial infrastructure, potentially obstructing broader economic growth. These findings carry critical policy implications, advocating for a cohesive strategy that fosters both Fintech innovations and traditional financial sectors to maximize economic growth and inclusivity. A deliberate emphasis on synchronizing innovative financial solutions with the strengthening of conventional banking is essential for promoting sustainable economic development in these resource-constrained regions.
本研究严谨考察了金融科技(Financial Technology, Fintech)、金融普惠及其共同作用对发展中国家经济增长的复杂交互影响。本研究采用经面板校正标准误(Panel-Corrected Standard Errors, PCSE)与可行广义最小二乘法(Feasible Generalized Least Squares, FGLS)方法优化的稳健面板回归分析框架,对覆盖108个国家的大型数据集展开实证分析;这些国家按收入水平划分为低收入、中低收入与中高收入组别,研究周期涵盖2011、2014、2017及2021四个关键年份。
本研究聚焦金融科技的两大核心维度——具体而言,即基于移动技术的数字支付与电子商务应用——同时纳入传统金融可得性指标,包括ATM机密度、银行网点密度与活跃银行账户数量。
研究结果表明,金融科技变量整体对经济增长呈现正向促进效应,其中数字支付系统的优化作用尤为突出。与之相对,传统金融普惠指标往往与经济增长轨迹呈负相关关系。值得注意的是,本研究揭示了数字支付使用与ATM机密度之间存在显著的正向交互效应,表明二者存在协同关系,可有效提升传统银行系统的运营效能。反之则存在替代效应:对移动技术的依赖度提升会削弱传统金融基础设施的价值,或对整体经济增长形成阻碍。
上述研究结果具有重要的政策启示意义,主张应采取协同发展策略,同步推动金融科技创新与传统金融行业提质升级,以最大化实现经济增长与金融普惠效益。在这些资源约束型地区,有意识地协调创新型金融解决方案与传统银行业的强化升级,对于促进可持续经济发展至关重要。
创建时间:
2024-12-05



