国际能源署发布《2026年电力报告》

在全球电力时代加速到来的背景下，随着工业、交通和建筑部门电气化水平不断提高，全球电力需求增长持续加快。同时，人工智能、数据中心以及不断演进的技术创新等全球经济最具活力的领域也推动了电力消费的增长。在此背景下，国际能源署年度报告《Electricity2026》对支撑这一新时代的最新趋势和政策发展进行了深入分析。报告包含了全球及各地区、选定国家的电力需求、供应和二氧化碳排放量预测。与以往三年展望期不同，今年的预测期已扩展至五年，即2026年至2030年。随着电力使用量的增长，电力系统需要更大的灵活性，以便在适应不断变化的用电模式和技术的同时，安全且经济高效地整合日益多元化的发电来源。今年的报告特别关注这些挑战，设有专门章节讨论电网和灵活性议题，并对需求响应以及公用事业规模电池的发展进行了详细更新。

Against the backdrop of the accelerating advent of the global electricity era, with rising electrification rates in the industrial, transportation, and building sectors, global electricity demand growth has continued to accelerate. Meanwhile, the most dynamic segments of the global economy—including artificial intelligence, data centers, and ongoing technological innovations—have also driven growth in electricity consumption. Against this context, the International Energy Agency's annual report *Electricity 2026* delivers an in-depth analysis of the latest trends and policy developments underpinning this new era. The report features forecasts of electricity demand, supply, and carbon dioxide emissions for the entire world, all regions, and selected individual countries. Unlike the three-year forecasting horizons of previous editions, this year's outlook has been extended to a five-year span covering 2026 to 2030. As electricity consumption grows, power systems require greater flexibility to safely and cost-effectively integrate an increasingly diverse portfolio of generation resources while adapting to evolving electricity consumption patterns and technologies. This year's report places special focus on these challenges, including dedicated chapters on grid operations and flexibility-related topics, alongside detailed updates on demand response initiatives and the advancement of utility-scale battery storage systems.