THE SHATTERING OF THE LEFT CONSENSUS IN THE BRAZILIAN PARLIAMENT: from the 1988 Constituent Assembly to the rise of Jair Bolsonaro in 2018

The work aims to verify how a supposed “left consensus” presented in the Brazilian Parliament since the Constituent Assembly of 1988 has appeared in recent years. Through the confrontation of research results that adopt methodologies based on the self-declaration of the parties, on the opinion of experts, and on the perception of the electorate, one concludes that there was a clear disruption of the so-called “right self-repression”, mainly after the rise of Dilma Rousseff, in 2010, and after the great protestations in June 2013, reaching Jair Bolsonaro election in 2018.

本研究旨在验证：自1988年制宪会议（Constituent Assembly of 1988）以来，巴西议会中所谓的“左翼共识（left consensus）”在近年呈现出何种演化态势。通过对基于政党自我声明、专家意见及选民感知三类研究方法所得出的成果进行比对分析，本研究最终得出结论：所谓“右翼自我压制（right self-repression）”现象已出现显著消解，这一变化主要肇始于迪尔玛·罗塞夫（Dilma Rousseff）于2010年崛起之后，且在2013年6月爆发大规模抗议活动后进一步发酵，直至2018年雅伊尔·博索纳罗（Jair Bolsonaro）当选总统时达到峰值。