CMIP6 exceedance likelihoods for climate extremes

This collection consists of climate extremes data derived from several CMIP6 large ensembles (models with five or more runs), representing how the likelihood of exceeding various historical thresholds changes over the 1850-2100 period.

Climate metrics relating to heat (Warm Spell Duration Index; WSDI), drought (Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index; SPEI) and fire weather (Forest Fire Danger Index; FFDI) are included for four different future emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), aggregated for each state and territory of Australia.

The data was produced to support macroeconomic modeling conducted by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

本数据集集合包含源自多个第六次耦合模式比较计划（CMIP6）大集合模拟（即包含5组及以上模拟运行的气候模式）的极端气候数据，刻画了1850年至2100年间，各类历史气候阈值被突破的概率随时间的变化规律。
数据集纳入了与热浪相关的暖期持续指数（Warm Spell Duration Index, WSDI）、干旱相关的标准化降水蒸散指数（Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI）以及火险天气相关的森林火险指数（Forest Fire Danger Index, FFDI），涵盖四种未来排放情景（SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5、SSP3-7.0及SSP5-8.5）下的计算结果，并已针对澳大利亚各州及领地完成聚合处理。
本数据集的编制旨在支撑澳大利亚储备银行开展的宏观经济建模工作。