Multinomial logit result.

Africa has been known to experience series of problems among which are poverty, food insecurity, lack of access to energy, lack of infrastructure among others. These problems were exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has had a severe impact on the socioeconomic status of households in Africa. This paper examines the relationship between socioeconomic shocks, social protection, and household food security during the pandemic in Nigeria, the Africa’s largest economy. Using the World Bank’s COVID-19 national longitudinal baseline phone survey (2020) for the analysis and applied the multinomial logit regression, the study finds that socioeconomic shocks resulting from the pandemic have led to an increased level of food insecurity. Social protection programmes have played a crucial role in mitigating the impact of these shocks on households. However, the study also highlights the need for more targeted and effective social protection policies to ensure that vulnerable households are adequately protected from the adverse effects of the pandemic. The findings of this study have important implications for policymakers and stakeholders in Africa’s largest economy, as they seek to address the challenges posed by the pandemic and promote household food security for the actualisation the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) of food and nutrition security (SDG2). The study, therefore, recommends that efforts be made to preserve food supply chains by mitigating the pandemic’s effect on food systems, increasing food production, and looking forward beyond the pandemic by building resilient food systems with the use of social protection interventions.

非洲素来面临诸多难题，涵盖贫困、粮食不安全、能源获取受限、基础设施匮乏等诸多领域。新冠疫情进一步加剧了这些问题，对非洲家庭的社会经济状况造成了严重冲击。本研究聚焦非洲第一大经济体尼日利亚，探讨疫情期间社会经济冲击、社会保护与家庭粮食安全之间的关联。本研究采用世界银行（World Bank）2020年新冠疫情全国纵向基线电话调查数据开展实证分析，并运用多项logit回归（multinomial logit regression）模型。研究发现，疫情引发的社会经济冲击导致粮食不安全程度上升；社会保护项目在缓解此类冲击对家庭的负面影响方面发挥了关键作用。不过，研究同时强调，仍需制定更具针对性与实效性的社会保护政策，以确保弱势家庭能够得到充分保护，免受疫情带来的不利影响。本研究结果对于非洲第一大经济体的政策制定者与利益相关方具有重要参考意义，他们正致力于应对疫情带来的各项挑战，推动家庭粮食安全建设，以落实联合国（United Nations, UN）可持续发展目标（Sustainable Development Goal, SDG）中的粮食与营养安全目标（SDG2）。据此，本研究提出如下建议：通过缓解疫情对粮食系统的冲击、提升粮食产量以维护粮食供应链的稳定，并借助社会保护干预措施构建韧性粮食系统，为疫后发展筑牢基础。