Data for: The impact of a social program on labor informality: The case of AUH in Argentina

Abstract of associated article: The recent Universal Child Allowance program in Argentina provides monthly cash transfers to unregistered workers with children. As the program is accessible only to those who are not in formal employment, it may discourage workers' transitions to the formal sector. In this paper we estimate this effect by comparing the transitions to registered jobs of eligible workers (with children) with a similar but not eligible group (without children) over time. The results suggest a statistically significant and economically large disincentive to the labor market formalization of the program beneficiaries. In contrast, there is no sufficient evidence for the existence of a significant incentive for registered workers to become informal.

相关论文摘要：阿根廷近期实施的普遍儿童津贴计划向拥有儿童的未登记工人提供每月现金转账。由于该计划仅对未从事正式就业的人员开放，可能抑制工人向正式部门的转变。在本文中，我们通过比较符合条件（拥有儿童）的工人与类似但不符合条件的群体（无儿童）在不同时间段的注册工作转变情况来估计这种影响。研究结果暗示，该计划受益者的劳动力市场正规化存在显著的、经济上显著的抑制作用。相比之下，没有充分的证据表明，正式注册的工人转变为非正式工人的激励机制存在显著性。