Results of network meta-analysis that were utilised in the economic model: probability of recovery at end of treatment.
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The log-odds of recovery on wait list was assumed to follow a normal distribution with mean -2.629 and variance 1.235 (estimated using all the wait list arms of RCTs included in the NMA); this translates into a probability of recovery for wait list (mean, 95% credible intervals) as shown above.C&W: Clark and Wells model; GCBT: group cognitive behavioural therapy; ICBT: individually delivered cognitive behavioural therapy; IPT: interpersonal therapy; NMA: network meta-analysis; PDPT: psychodynamic psychotherapy; SHNS: self-help no support; SHWS: self-help with supportInterventions ranked according to probability of recovery (highest to lowest).
本研究假设等候队列组的康复对数胜算比服从均值为-2.629、方差为1.235的正态分布(该分布参数通过纳入网络Meta分析(network meta-analysis, NMA)的所有随机对照试验(randomized controlled trial, RCT)等候组数据估算得到);由此可推导得出等候队列组的康复概率(含均值与95%可信区间),具体如上所示。C&W:Clark与Wells模型(Clark and Wells model);GCBT:团体认知行为治疗(group cognitive behavioural therapy);ICBT:个体认知行为治疗(individually delivered cognitive behavioural therapy);IPT:人际心理治疗(interpersonal therapy);NMA:网络Meta分析(network meta-analysis);PDPT:精神动力学心理治疗(psychodynamic psychotherapy);SHNS:无支持自助干预(self-help no support);SHWS:支持性自助干预(self-help with support)。所有干预措施按康复概率从高到低进行排序。
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2015-12-03



