BCCM Monthly Future Prescribed Burn Windows for the Southeast United States 2010-2099 RCP 8.5

Prescribed burning is a critical tool for managing wildfire risks and meeting ecological objectives, but its safe and effective application requires that specific meteorological criteria are met. This dataset contains results from a study examining the potential impacts of projected climatic change on prescribed burning in the southeastern United States. A set of burn window criteria (suitable weather conditions within which burning may occur based on maximum daily temperature, daily average relative humidity, and daily average wind speed), were applied to projections from an ensemble of Global Climate Models (GCM) under two greenhouse gas emission scenarios, as well as past observations for comparison. Data are provided as decadal output for observed conditions, and for individual GCM results for the historical climate scenario and the two future climate scenarios are provided. In addition, summary statistics (e.g., multi-model mean, and for selected quantiles) are provided for the GCM ensemble as a whole by decade.

计划火烧（prescribed burning）是管控野火风险、达成生态目标的关键工具，但其安全高效的实施需满足特定气象准则。本数据集收录了一项研究的结果，该研究旨在探究预估气候变化对美国东南部地区计划火烧的潜在影响。研究采用一套火烧窗口期准则——即基于每日最高气温、日平均相对湿度与日平均风速划定的适宜火烧气象条件——将其应用于两种温室气体排放情景下多模式集合全球气候模式（Global Climate Models）的预测结果，同时也结合过往观测数据开展对比分析。数据集提供了观测条件下的年代际输出结果，同时也提供了历史气候情景与两种未来气候情景下的单模式GCM结果。此外，数据集还按年代提供了整体GCM集合的统计摘要结果，例如多模式均值与选定分位数的统计值。