2024 年东南亚能源展望

《2024年东南亚能源展望》是《世界能源展望》特别报告的第六版，反映了该地区的活力，以及国际能源署与东南亚国家联盟（东盟）的十个成员国--文莱达鲁萨兰国、柬埔寨、印度尼西亚、老挝人民民主共和国（老挝）、马来西亚、缅甸、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南--之间伙伴关系的重要性。2024年10月，在新加坡国际能源周期间（本报告发布的同时），国际能源署区域合作中心将在新加坡成立，从而进一步加强国际能源署与该地区的关系。这是国际能源署在巴黎总部之外设立的第一个办事处。本报告第一章首先讨论了背景情况。第二章根据国际能源署《世界能源展望》中的情景预测，介绍了国际能源署对东南亚到2050年所有燃料和技术的情景预测，并考虑了其对能源安全、可负担性和排放的广泛影响。第三章深入分析了三个关键领域。它探讨了迪拜（2023年）第二十八届缔约方会议的成果对东南亚的意义，特别是关于到2030年将可再生能源发电能力提高两倍、将能效提高速度加快一倍以及大幅减少甲烷排放的全球目标。报告还探讨了在电力安全和清洁能源供应链的清洁能源转型中出现的一些新问题，最后讨论了如何根据本地区的能源和气候目标扩大投资和融资。

The 2024 Southeast Asia Energy Outlook is the sixth edition of the special report of the World Energy Outlook, which reflects the vitality of the region and the importance of the partnership between the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the ten member states of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) — Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR), Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. In October 2024, during Singapore International Energy Week (coinciding with the release of this report), the IEA Regional Cooperation Center will be established in Singapore, further strengthening the relationship between the IEA and the region. This will be the first office set up by the IEA outside its Paris headquarters. The first chapter of this report starts with a discussion of the background. The second chapter presents the IEA's scenario projections for all fuels and technologies across Southeast Asia through 2050, based on the scenarios outlined in the IEA World Energy Outlook, and assesses its wide-ranging impacts on energy security, affordability and emissions. The third chapter conducts an in-depth analysis of three critical areas. It explores the implications of the outcomes of the 28th Conference of the Parties (COP28) held in Dubai in 2023 for Southeast Asia, particularly regarding the global targets of doubling renewable power generation capacity by 2030, doubling the pace of energy efficiency improvements, and substantially reducing methane emissions. The report also examines several emerging issues in the clean energy transition related to power security and clean energy supply chains, and finally discusses how to scale up investment and financing in line with the region's energy and climate objectives.