Nuclear Study - Dissemination

Stakeholder and conference presentations made on the findings of the study.<br>The study is a technical analysis of the potential risks and uncertainties of South Africa’s proposed commitment to 9.6 GW of nuclear power. The objective of the study is to review this commitment in comparison to a more flexible planning approach that aims to minimise costs. It includes three main tiers of analysis: the first builds two alternative futures, so that we can understand the implications of different investment strategies in uncertain future worlds; the second models the socioeconomic impacts of the commitment to nuclear power versus a flexible planning approach in each of these futures (i.e. committed nuclear versus least-cost investment plans in different futures); the third estimates the risks of an increase in the electricity price to the South African economy and consumers.<br>

关于本研究成果的利益相关方陈述及会议报告。
本研究是对南非拟议的9.6吉瓦（GW）核电承诺所涉潜在风险与不确定性的技术分析。研究目标是将该承诺与旨在最小化成本的更灵活规划方法进行对比分析。研究包含三个主要分析层级：第一层级构建两种替代未来场景，以理解不确定未来环境下不同投资策略的潜在影响；第二层级模拟了在每个未来场景中，核电承诺与灵活规划方法的社会经济影响（即不同场景下的固定核电投资与最低成本投资计划对比）；第三层级评估了电价上涨对南非经济及消费者的风险。