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Using Climate Model Simulations to Constrain Observations Journal of Climate

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NOAA Institutional Repository2023-01-26 更新2026-04-25 收录
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https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0768.1
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We compare atmospheric temperature changes in satellite data and in model ensembles performed under phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6). In the lower stratosphere, multidecadal stratospheric cooling during the period of strong ozone depletion is smaller in newer CMIP6 simulations than in CMIP5 or satellite data. In the troposphere, however, despite forcing and climate sensitivity differences between the two CMIP ensembles, their ensemble-average global warming over 1979–2019 is very similar. We also examine four properties of tropical behavior governed by basic physical processes.
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NOAA
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2023-01-26
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