Troides aeacus

This study was conducted to examine how the future distribution of Troides aeacus, a butterfly species, may be affected by climate change under different scenarios. It was found that temperature and precipitation are the main factors influencing its suitable habitat. By the 2050s and 2090s, both low and highly suitable areas are expected to expand, particularly under severe warming conditions (SSP5-8.5), while moderately suitable areas are likely to shrink. This shift could result in potential risks, such as habitat loss, increased competition, and local population declines. To ensure the species' survival, conservation strategies should be focused on protecting optimal habitats and effectively managing marginal areas.

本研究旨在探讨不同气候变化情景下，蝴蝶物种金裳凤蝶（Troides aeacus）的未来分布可能受到的影响。研究发现，温度与降水是影响其适宜栖息地的核心驱动因子。预计至2050年代与2090年代，其低适宜与高适宜栖息地面积均将扩张，在极端升温情景（SSP5-8.5）下尤为显著，而中等适宜栖息地面积则大概率缩减。这一分布变迁或引发一系列潜在风险，包括栖息地丧失、种间竞争加剧以及局域种群数量下降。为保障该物种的存续，保护策略应聚焦于保护最优栖息地，并对边缘生境开展有效管理。