Infectious disease modelling and the dynamics of the active cases - Data

We developed a model that tries to describe the dynamics of the spread of a disease among a population, in particular the progress of infected active cases. The model is then applied to describe Italy CoViD-19 outbreak and subsequently, we tried to predict possible scenarios.

本研究构建了一款旨在描述人群中疾病传播动力学特征，尤其是现症感染病例病情进展的模型。随后将该模型应用于意大利新型冠状病毒肺炎（CoViD-19）疫情暴发态势的刻画，并尝试预测多种潜在的疫情发展场景。