Abstract of associated article: Bayesian model averaging has become a widely used approach to accounting for uncertainty about the structural form of the model generating the data. When data arrive se
After the Covid-shock in March 2020, stock prices declined abruptly, reflecting both the deterioration of investors expectations of economic activity as well as the surge in aggregate risk aversion. I
El indicador adelantado compuesto (CLI, por sus siglas en inglés) es un índice diseñado para proporcionar señales tempranas de puntos de inflexión en los ciclos económicos, que muestra las fluctuacio
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development100