VALU 2003 - SVT exit poll survey EMU-election 2003

September 14, 2003 was the date for the referendum on Sweden´s possible participation in the third stage of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). The question that all those entitled to vote had to answer was: ´Do you think Sweden should introduce the euro as its currency?´ In connection with the referendum an exit poll survey was carried out.

In VALU - Swedish exit poll surveys - voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in it´s Election Night broadcast. The surveys are referred to as VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning, Swedish for exit poll survey. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament.

Voters leaving the polling stations were asked to fill in a questionnaire including questions on: altenative voted for in the referendum; time for decision how to vote; opinion on alternative most likely to get the majority of votes; party voted for in the general election 2002; party voted for if a general election should have been held at the same day; placement on a political left-right scale; confidence in Swedish politicians. The respondent also had to give the opinion on: the fairness of the referendum; the Swedish EU membership; EU developing into a federal state; and on the need for referenda in the future. Furthermore the respondents had to indicate how important a number of items were for the decision how to vote. The respondent was also asked if she/he had visited any country with euro as currency during the last year. Demographic questions include gender, age, citizenship, occupational group, union membership and church attendance. Earlier exit poll surveys has been carried out in connection with the parliamentary elections in 1991, 1994, 1998 and 2002, the referendum on Swedish membership of the European Union in 1994 and the Swedish elections to the European Parliament in 1995 and 1999.

Purpose:

Provide analytical support for the election night broadcast on Swedish television during the election night, and for other post-election analysis.

2003年9月14日是瑞典就是否加入经济与货币联盟（Economic and Monetary Union, EMU）第三阶段举行全民公投的日期。所有具备投票资格的选民需回答的问题为：“您是否支持瑞典以欧元作为本国法定货币？” 本次公投配套开展了出口民调调查。

瑞典出口民调项目（VALU，其全称为瑞典语vallokalsundersökning的缩写，意为“出口民调”）由瑞典公共服务电视台瑞典电视（Sveriges Television, SVT）实施：选民离开投票站时，工作人员会邀请其填写问卷，并将问卷匿名投入密封回收箱。在收集并完成数据处理后，瑞典电视可在其选举夜直播中发布选举预测报告，并对选举结果的成因展开系统性分析。瑞典的首次出口民调于1991年议会选举中开展，此后所有议会选举、全民公投以及欧洲议会选举均配套开展了同类调研。

本次公投出口民调的问卷涵盖以下调研内容：选民在此次公投中的投票选项、作出投票决定的时间、对最有可能获得多数支持选项的预判、2002年大选时的投票党派、若当日举行大选的拟投票党派、在政治左右翼光谱中的定位、对瑞典政客的信任程度。受访者还需就以下议题发表看法：此次公投的公平性、瑞典的欧盟成员国身份、欧盟发展为联邦制国家的可能性，以及未来是否有必要举行全民公投。此外，受访者需说明若干影响其投票决定的因素的重要程度，并被问及过去一年是否到访过以欧元作为流通货币的国家。问卷的人口统计学统计维度包括性别、年龄、公民身份、职业群体、工会会员身份以及教堂礼拜参与频率。此前的出口民调已在1991、1994、1998及2002年议会选举，1994年瑞典欧盟成员国身份公投，以及1995、1999年欧洲议会瑞典选区选举中开展。

数据集用途：为瑞典电视台的选举夜直播及其他事后选举分析提供分析支撑。