Replication Data for: Polarization but Not Populism Strengthens the Association Between Presidential Election Results and Emotions

We investigate whether election results are associated with emotional reactions among voters across democracies and under what conditions these responses are more intense. Building on recent work in comparative politics, we theorize that emotional intensity is stronger after elections involving populist candidates and highly polarized parties. We test these expectations with a big-data analysis of emotional reactions on parties' Facebook posts during 29 presidential elections in 26 democracies. The results show that ideological polarization of political parties might intensify emotional reactions, but there is no clear relationship with the presence of populist candidates.

本研究旨在探究全球民主国家的选举结果是否与选民的情绪反应存在关联，并进一步明晰在何种条件下这类情绪反应会更为强烈。本研究依托比较政治学（Comparative Politics）领域的近期研究成果，提出理论假设：在包含民粹主义候选人与高度极化政党的选举结束后，选民的情绪反应强度会更高。本研究针对26个民主国家的29场总统选举中各政党Facebook帖子下的情绪反应开展大数据分析，以此验证上述理论假设。研究结果表明，政党的意识形态极化或许会加剧选民的情绪反应，但并未发现民粹主义候选人的参选与情绪反应强度存在明确关联。