Labour Force Survey Five-Quarter Longitudinal Dataset, April 2017 - June 2018

<P>Abstract copyright UK Data Service and data collection copyright owner.</P><p><b>Background</b><br>
The <i>Labour Force Survey</i> (LFS) is a unique source of information using international definitions of employment and unemployment and economic inactivity, together with a wide range of related topics such as occupation, training, hours of work and personal characteristics of household members aged 16 years and over. It is used to inform social, economic and employment policy. The LFS was first conducted biennially from 1973-1983. Between 1984 and 1991 the survey was carried out annually and consisted of a quarterly survey conducted throughout the year and a 'boost' survey in the spring quarter (data were then collected seasonally). From 1992 quarterly data were made available, with a quarterly sample size approximately equivalent to that of the previous annual data. The survey then became known as the <i>Quarterly Labour Force Survey</i> (QLFS). From December 1994, data gathering for Northern Ireland moved to a full quarterly cycle to match the rest of the country, so the QLFS then covered the whole of the UK (though some additional annual Northern Ireland LFS datasets are also held at the UK Data Archive). Further information on the background to the QLFS may be found in the documentation.<br>
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<b>Longitudinal data</b><br>
The LFS retains each sample household for five consecutive quarters, with a fifth of the sample replaced each quarter. The main survey was designed to produce cross-sectional data, but the data on each individual have now been linked together to provide longitudinal information. The longitudinal data comprise two types of linked datasets, created using the weighting method to adjust for non-response bias. The two-quarter datasets link data from two consecutive waves, while the five-quarter datasets link across a whole year (for example January 2010 to March 2011 inclusive) and contain data from all five waves. A full series of longitudinal data has been produced, going back to winter 1992. Linking together records to create a longitudinal dimension can, for example, provide information on gross flows over time between different labour force categories (employed, unemployed and economically inactive). This will provide detail about people who have moved between the categories. Also, longitudinal information is useful in monitoring the effects of government policies and can be used to follow the subsequent activities and circumstances of people affected by specific policy initiatives, and to compare them with other groups in the population. There are however methodological problems which could distort the data resulting from this longitudinal linking. The ONS continues to research these issues and advises that the presentation of results should be carefully considered, and warnings should be included with outputs where necessary.<br><br>
<b>LFS Documentation</b><br>
The documentation available from the Archive to accompany LFS datasets largely consists of the latest version of each user guide volume alongside the appropriate questionnaire for the year concerned. However, volumes are updated periodically by ONS, so users are advised to check the latest documents on the ONS <a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/methodologies/labourforcesurveyuserguidance" title="Labour Force Survey - User Guidance" target="_blank">Labour Force Survey - User Guidance</a> pages before commencing analysis. <b>This is especially important for users of older QLFS studies, where information and guidance in the user guide documents may have changed over time.</b><br></p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;">Occupation data for 2021 and 2022 data files</span><br></p><p>The ONS has identified an issue with the collection of some occupational data in 2021 and 2022 data files in a number of their surveys. While they estimate any impacts will be small overall, this will affect the accuracy of the breakdowns of some detailed (four-digit Standard Occupational Classification (SOC)) occupations, and data derived from them. Further information can be found in the ONS article published on 11 July 2023:&nbsp;<a title="Revision of miscoded occupational data in the ONS Labour Force Survey, UK: January 2021 to September 2022" href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/articles/revisionofmiscodedoccupationaldataintheonslabourforcesurveyuk/january2021toseptember2022" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Revision of miscoded occupational data in the ONS Labour Force Survey, UK: January 2021 to September 2022</a>.</p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;">2022 Weighting</span></p><p>The population totals used for the latest LFS estimates use projected growth rates from Real Time Information (RTI) data for UK, EU and non-EU populations based on 2021 patterns. The total population used for the LFS therefore does not take into account any changes in migration, birth rates, death rates, and so on since June 2021, and hence levels estimates may be under- or over-estimating the true values and should be used with caution. Estimates of rates will, however, be robust.</p><br><B>Main Topics</B>:<BR>The five-quarter longitudinal datasets include a subset of the most commonly used variables from the <i>Quarterly Labour Force Survey</i> (QLFS), covering the main areas of the survey.

<P>本摘要版权归英国数据服务中心（UK Data Service）及数据采集版权所有者所有。</P><p><b>背景</b><br>劳动力调查（Labour Force Survey, LFS）是采用国际就业、失业及经济不活跃定义的独特信息来源，涵盖职业、培训、工作时长以及16岁及以上家庭成员个人特征等广泛相关主题，可用于为社会、经济与就业政策制定提供参考。该调查于1973年至1983年首次开展时为两年一度，1984年至1991年转为年度调查，包含全年开展的季度调查与春季季度的「补充」调查（此后数据按季度采集）。1992年起，季度数据正式对外发布，季度样本量大致等同于此前的年度样本量，该调查自此更名为<em>季度劳动力调查（Quarterly Labour Force Survey, QLFS）</em>。1994年12月起，北爱尔兰的数据采集转为完整季度周期以匹配英国其他地区，自此QLFS覆盖英国全境（英国数据档案馆（UK Data Archive）亦保存有部分额外的北爱尔兰LFS年度数据集）。如需了解QLFS背景的更多细节，可查阅相关官方文档。<br><br><b>纵向数据</b><br>LFS会将每个样本家庭保留五个连续季度，每季度更换五分之一的样本。最初的主调查设计用于生成截面数据，但如今已将每个个体的数据关联整合，以提供纵向研究信息。纵向数据包含两类通过加权方法调整无回应偏差的关联数据集：两季度数据集关联连续两轮调查的数据，五季度数据集则覆盖完整年度的数据（例如2010年1月至2011年3月，含首尾时段），涵盖全部五轮调查的样本数据。完整的纵向数据系列可追溯至1992年冬季。通过关联记录构建纵向维度，可获取不同劳动力市场类别（就业、失业及经济不活跃群体）间随时间变化的总流动信息，详细呈现跨类别的人员流动情况。此外，纵向信息有助于监测政府政策的实施效果，可用于追踪特定政策举措影响人群的后续活动与境况，并与其他人口群体进行对比。不过此类纵向关联方式可能存在方法学问题，会扭曲生成的数据结果。英国国家统计局（Office for National Statistics, ONS）仍在持续研究此类问题，并建议在呈现研究结果时需谨慎考量，必要时需在输出成果中附带相关警示。<br><br><b>LFS文档</b><br>英国数据档案馆（UK Data Archive）提供的随LFS数据集附带的文档，主要包含各年度对应问卷的最新版用户指南手册。不过ONS会定期更新这些手册内容，因此建议用户在开展分析前，先登录ONS的<a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/methodologies/labourforcesurveyuserguidance" title="劳动力调查用户指南" target="_blank">劳动力调查用户指南</a>页面查看最新官方文档。<b>对于较旧的QLFS研究用户而言，这一点尤为重要，因为用户指南中的信息与指导可能已随时间发生变化。</b><br></p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;"><b>2021年与2022年数据文件的职业数据</b></span><br></p><p>ONS在多项调查中发现，2021年与2022年数据文件中的部分职业数据采集存在问题。尽管其估算整体影响较小，但这会影响部分细分（四位标准职业分类（Standard Occupational Classification, SOC））职业的分类数据精度，以及由其衍生的数据。更多信息可参阅ONS于2023年7月11日发布的文章：<a title="英国2021年1月至2022年9月劳动力调查中编码错误职业数据的修订" href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/articles/revisionofmiscodedoccupationaldataintheonslabourforcesurveyuk/january2021toseptember2022" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">《英国2021年1月至2022年9月劳动力调查中编码错误职业数据的修订》</a>。</p><p><span style="font-weight: bold;"><b>2022年权重计算</b></span></p><p>最新LFS估算所使用的人口总数，基于2021年的人口模式，采用英国、欧盟及非欧盟人口的实时信息（Real Time Information, RTI）数据预测增长率。因此，LFS所使用的总人口数未考虑2021年6月以来移民、出生率、死亡率等方面的变化，由此得出的水平估算值可能高估或低估真实数值，使用时需谨慎。不过，比率估算值仍具备可靠性。<br><B>主要主题</B>:<BR>五季度纵向数据集包含季度劳动力调查（QLFS）中最常用的变量子集，覆盖该调查的核心研究领域。