Exploring the Impact of Artificial Intelligence: Prediction versus Judgment

Based on recent developments in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), we examine what type of human labor will be a substitute versus a complement to emerging technologies. We argue that these recent developments reduce the costs of providing a particular set of tasks prediction tasks.

基于人工智能（Artificial Intelligence, AI）领域的最新研究进展，本文探讨了哪些类型的人类劳动会与新兴技术形成替代关系，哪些则会与之形成互补关系。我们认为，这些最新进展降低了提供一类特定任务——即预测任务——的成本。