Domino Secessions: Evidence from the U.S.

A secession movement is an uncertain process that evolves over time. We develop a simple theoretical framework in which regions use news to update their decisions to secede. Uncertainty and economies of scale are necessary conditions to observe domino secessions sequential interdependent secessions

分离运动（secession movement）是一个随时间演化的不确定过程。本文构建了一个简单的理论框架，其中各地区通过新闻信息更新其分离决策。不确定性与规模经济是观测到多米诺骨牌式分离（domino secessions，即序列性相互依存的分离运动）的必要条件。