The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioural Epidemiological Model of Pandemics
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w27632
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This paper reviews the literature on incorporating behavioural elements into epidemiological models of pandemics. While modelling behaviour by forward-looking rational agents can provide some insight into the time paths of pandemics, the non-stationary nature of Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR)
本文综述了将行为要素纳入大流行流行病学模型的相关研究文献。尽管通过前瞻性理性主体对行为进行建模,能够为大流行的时间演化路径提供一定见解,但易感者-感染者-移除者(Susceptible-Infected-Removed,SIR)模型的非平稳特性
提供机构:
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间:
2020-08-01



