Transportation in urban land change models: a systematic review and future directions

Urban land change and transportation infrastructure development often interact and collectively lead to significant socioeconomic and biophysical impacts. Here, we performed a systematic review to identify how urban land change modeling studies account for transportation infrastructure. We found that less than one-fifth of urban land modeling studies explicitly incorporated a transportation component. Of these, most incorporated transportation based on relatively simple distance-based variables. Despite the recognized influence of transportation on urban growth, only a few studies attempted to capture the dynamic interaction between the two. We present a conceptual modeling framework and argue for a renewed focus on capturing the dynamic interaction between urban land change and transportation development in modeling studies. Such focus is essential to develop a well-informed understanding of the implications for urban forms and landscapes of the wide-ranging changes in transportation systems that accompany rapid urbanization around the world.

城市土地变化与交通基础设施建设往往存在相互作用，并共同产生显著的社会经济与生物物理影响。本研究通过系统综述，梳理城市土地变化建模研究如何考量交通基础设施因素。研究发现，仅有不足五分之一的城市土地建模研究明确纳入了交通相关模块。在这些纳入交通模块的研究中，多数仅基于相对简单的距离类变量来引入交通因素。尽管交通对城市增长的影响已得到学界公认，但仅有少数研究试图捕捉二者之间的动态相互作用。本研究提出了一套概念建模框架，并呼吁学界重新关注建模研究中城市土地变化与交通基础设施建设之间的动态相互作用。这一关注焦点对于深入理解全球快速城市化进程中伴随交通系统广泛变革所带来的城市形态与景观格局变化的影响至关重要。