Supplement 1. Matlab computer code and data for analyses of the full model.

File List Duffy_et_al.m Metschfig.m MetschLLfunct.m simanneal.m UnsmoothedMetschDynamics.txt Description Duffy_et_al.m: main Matlab file; calls Metschfig.m, MetschLLfunct.m, and simanneal.m Together, these files provide the code for analyses of the full model given by Eq. 1. Matlab is produced by MathWorks (2007, MATLAB Version 7, MathWorks, Natick, Massachusetts, USA). UnsmoothedMetschDynamics.txt: data file called by Duffy_et_al.m; this file contains data on lake/epidemic identity (column 1), Julian day (column 2), infection prevalence (column 3), <i>D. dentifera </i>density (column 4), susceptible density (column 5), infected density (column 6), weighted temperature (column 7), and epilimnion temperature (column 8).

文件清单：Duffy_et_al.m、Metschfig.m、MetschLLfunct.m、simanneal.m、UnsmoothedMetschDynamics.txt
说明：
Duffy_et_al.m：主MATLAB脚本，调用Metschfig.m、MetschLLfunct.m与simanneal.m。上述文件共同构成了针对式(1)所给出的完整模型的分析代码。MATLAB由MathWorks公司开发（2007年，MATLAB 7版本，MathWorks，美国马萨诸塞州纳蒂克）。
UnsmoothedMetschDynamics.txt：供Duffy_et_al.m调用的数据文件，该文件包含如下数据：第1列为湖泊/疫情标识，第2列为儒略日，第3列为感染流行率，第4列为齿状溞（*D. dentifera*）种群密度，第5列为易感个体密度，第6列为感染个体密度，第7列为加权温度，第8列为湖上层水温。