Replication data for \"Support from Above: International Organizations, Summits, and Leader Survival\"

While existing literature indicates a variety of political consequences caused by IO membership, little attention has been paid to IOs’ impact on leaders. This article argues that IO membership has a positive effect on leader survival through two major mechanisms: IOs carrying information and IOs raising national well-being. The beneficial effect of IOs on leader survival, moreover, is stronger for IOs that regularly or periodically hold leader summits. This is because not only these IOs are more important, but also IO summits increase leaders’ visibility and serve as an endorsement for leaders’ power-consolidating behavior. Using data on leader failures and IO membership, this article shows that IO membership has a negative effect on leader failures, and this effect is much stronger for IOs with regular summits.

现有研究表明，国际组织（International Organization，IO）成员国身份会带来诸多政治后果，但学界此前极少关注国际组织对国家领导人的影响。本文提出，国际组织成员国身份可通过两大核心机制对领导人在位存续产生正向作用：一是国际组织的信息传递功能，二是国际组织对国民福祉的提升效应。此外，对于定期或周期性举办领导人峰会的国际组织而言，其对领导人在位存续的正向促进效果更为显著。究其原因，此类国际组织本身的地位更为重要，且国际组织峰会不仅能够提升领导人的公众曝光度，还可为其巩固权力的行为提供权威背书。本文基于领导人任期终结数据与国际组织成员国身份数据展开实证分析，结果显示，国际组织成员国身份会降低领导人任期终结的概率，且该效应在定期举办峰会的国际组织中更为突出。