Macroeconomic Projection Database - MPD

Macroeconomic projections aim to predict and understand the future state of the economy on a broad scale. They include information related to economic growth, inflation, wages, unemployment, trade and a number of other macroeconomic variables. Eurosystem and ECB staff produce macroeconomic projections that cover the outlook for the euro area and the wider global economy. These contribute to the ECB Governing Council’s assessment of economic developments and risks to price stability. They are published four times a year (in March, June, September and December). The June and December projections are conducted by Eurosystem staff and include (with a two-week delay) a national breakdown for real GDP, inflation and unemployment. The March and September projections are conducted by ECB staff and are published only for the euro area. For more information, please refer to the projections article published on the ECB website.宏观经济预测（Macroeconomic projections）旨在从宏观层面预测并研判未来的经济态势。此类预测涵盖经济增长、通货膨胀、薪资水平、失业率、贸易状况以及诸多其他宏观经济变量相关信息。 欧元体系（Eurosystem）及欧洲中央银行（ECB）工作人员会编制宏观经济预测报告，覆盖欧元区乃至更广泛的全球经济展望。此类报告可为欧洲中央银行管理委员会（ECB Governing Council）评估经济发展态势与物价稳定风险提供支撑。 该类预测报告每年发布四次，分别于3月、6月、9月及12月刊发。其中6月与12月发布的预测报告由欧元体系工作人员编制，包含（滞后两周发布的）实际GDP、通货膨胀率与失业率的国别拆分数据；3月与9月发布的预测报告则由欧洲中央银行工作人员编制，仅覆盖欧元区范畴。如需了解更多详情，请参阅欧洲中央银行官网发布的预测相关文章。