VIF2023 Regions Population Household Dwelling Projections to 2051

Major regions include the Metropolitan Regions and Regional Partnerships.\r\n\r\nVictoria in Future projections are an estimate of the future size, distribution and composition of the population. The projections give an idea of what is likely to happen if current trends continue. They are developed using mathematical models and expert knowledge, relying on trend analysis and assumptions about future change.\r\n\r\nVIF projections are an important guide for planning and building for our future. State and local governments and agencies use the projections to plan for land use and development, infrastructure, services and programs. Developers and businesses use them to analyse potential markets, for example future demands for dwellings, goods and services and labour supply.\r\n\r\nClause 11.02 of the State Planning Policy Framework explicitly requires planning for urban growth to have consideration to Victorian Government population projections.\r\n\r\nVIF2023 is not an exact prediction or forecast of the future. Uncertainty about the future increases over longer projection horizons and with smaller disaggregations, geographic or sectoral. Different policy settings and changes in the economy could result in changes to the expected size, distribution and characteristics of the population.\r\n\r\nFor more information go to - https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/guides-and-resources/data-and-insights/victoria-in-future#heading-1

主要区域涵盖都会区（Metropolitan Regions）与区域合作伙伴关系（Regional Partnerships）。

《维多利亚州未来展望》（Victoria in Future）的人口预测，是对未来人口规模、分布与构成的估算。此类预测旨在展现若当前趋势持续延续，未来可能出现的情景；其编制依托数学模型与专业知识，结合趋势分析及对未来变化的预设假设完成。

VIF（Victoria in Future）预测是规划与未来建设的重要参考依据。州级与地方政府及其职能部门可借助该预测开展土地利用与开发、基础设施、公共服务及相关项目的规划工作；开发商与企业则可利用其分析潜在市场，例如未来住房、商品服务需求及劳动力供给情况。

《州规划政策框架》第11.02条明确要求，城市增长规划必须考量维多利亚州政府的人口预测数据。

VIF2023并非对未来的精准预判。随着预测时限延长，以及按地理或细分领域进行的粒度更细的拆分统计，未来的不确定性会随之提升。不同的政策设定与经济变化，都可能导致人口规模、分布及特征的预期结果发生改变。

如需了解更多信息，请访问：https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/guides-and-resources/data-and-insights/victoria-in-future#heading-1