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Assessing Structural VARs

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NBER2006-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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This paper analyzes the quality of VAR-based procedures for estimating the response of the economy to a shock. We focus on two key issues. First, do VAR-based confidence intervals accurately reflect the actual degree of sampling uncertainty associated with impulse response functions? Second, what is

本文针对基于向量自回归模型(Vector Autoregression, VAR)的方法在估计经济对冲击的响应时的质量展开分析。本文聚焦两大核心议题:其一,基于VAR的置信区间能否精准反映脉冲响应函数(Impulse Response Function, IRF)所对应的实际抽样不确定性水平;其二,何为

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2006-07-01
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