National and Subnational Estimates of the Covid 19 Reproduction Number (R) for India Based on Test Results

Identifying changes in the reproduction number, rate of spread, and doubling time during the course of the COVID-19 outbreak whilst accounting for potential biases due to delays in case reporting both nationally and subnationally in India. These results are impacted by changes in testing effort, increases and decreases in testing effort will increase and decrease reproduction number estimates respectively.

本研究旨在分析印度全国及地方层级新冠疫情暴发期间，病毒再生数（reproduction number）、传播速率与倍增时间的动态变化，并校正因病例报告延迟引发的潜在偏倚。本研究所得结果会受到检测力度变动的影响：检测力度提升将使再生数估算值升高，反之则会降低该估算值。