VALU 2004 - SVT exit poll survey European parliament election 2004

This exit poll survey was carried out in connection with the election to the European parliament on June 13, 2004.

In VALU - Swedish exit poll surveys - voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in it´s Election Night broadcast. The surveys are referred to as VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning, Swedish for exit poll survey. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament.

Voters leaving the polling stations were asked to fill in a questionnaire including questions on: party voted for; vote on individual or party; time for decision how to vote; party voted for if a general election was held the same day; alternative voted for in the EMU-referendum 2003; opinion on a referendum on the new EU constitution; vote in a referendum on the constitution; opinion on the Swedish EU-membership; opinion on a European federal state; confidence in Swedish politicians; placement on a political left-right scale; gender, age, occupational group and union membership. The respondents also had to indicate the importance of the policy in EU-questions, achievements in Swedish politics, old party loyalties, and the candidates, when deciding how to vote. They also had to state the importance of following issues: environment, economy, employment, agricultural subsidies in the EU, peace in Europe, national independence, change of currency to euro, refugees/immigration, enlargement of the EU, terms of enterprise, equality between men and women, defence, democracy within the EU and social welfare. Furthermore they had to state how satisfied they were with the way democracy works in Sweden and within the European Union.

Purpose:

Provide analytical support for the election night broadcast on Swedish television during the election night, and for other post-election analysis.

本次出口民调（exit poll survey）系针对2004年6月13日欧洲议会选举开展。

在瑞典出口民调项目VALU中，瑞典公共服务电视台瑞典电视公司（Sveriges Television, SVT）会向离开投票站的选民发放问卷，并请其将问卷匿名投入密封箱内。收集并处理问卷数据后，SVT可在其选举夜直播中发布选举预测及本次选举结果背后成因的分析报告。该民调项目名为VALU，是瑞典语“vallokalsundersökning”（即出口民调）的缩写。瑞典首次出口民调于1991年议会选举期间开展，此后所有议会选举、全民公投及欧洲议会选举均配套开展了同类调研。

离开投票站的选民需填写问卷，问卷涵盖以下问题：所投政党、投给个人候选人还是政党、做出投票决定的时间、若当日举行议会选举则拟投政党、2003年欧洲经济与货币联盟（EMU）公投中的投票选择、对欧盟新宪法公投的看法、欧盟宪法公投中的实际投票意向、对瑞典欧盟成员国身份的看法、对建立欧洲联邦制国家的态度、对瑞典政客的信任度、在政治左右光谱中的立场、性别、年龄、职业群体及工会会员身份。受访者还需说明在决定投票方式时，欧盟相关政策、瑞典政治成果、既往政党忠诚度及候选人因素的重要程度。此外，受访者需阐述以下议题的影响权重：环境、经济、就业、欧盟农业补贴、欧洲和平、国家独立、改用欧元、难民/移民问题、欧盟东扩、企业经营条款、男女平等、国防、欧盟内部民主及社会福利。受访者还需表明其对瑞典及欧盟民主运作方式的满意程度。

调研目的：为瑞典电视台选举夜直播及其他选举后分析工作提供分析支撑。