Surface Water Flood Maps (FRM_FH_SURFACE_WATER_VELOCITY_H)
收藏资源简介:
The following probabilities are available for surface water flooding: - High - 10 year return period - Medium - 200 year return period - Low - 200 year return period plus climate change using the UKCP09 high emissions scenario for the 2080s.The surface water hazard maps show (where available): - Flood extent - Flood depth - Flood velocities where appropriate. Velocity is presented, where appropriate; this is determined by considering the confidence in input data, modelling method and impact. It is currently represented as one of four bandsThe climate change scenario has been defined by United Kingdom Climate Projection 2009 (UKCP09) predictions for 2080 high emissions 95%ile predictions. Medium and low probability flood events were selected for consistency with return periods used in Scottish Planning Policy, whereas the high probability was chosen as it is reflective of observed events experienced over the last few decades.
本次公开的地表洪水概率等级如下: - 高概率:10年一遇重现期 - 中概率:200年一遇重现期 - 低概率:200年一遇重现期叠加气候变化影响,气候变化情景采用2080年代英国气候预测2009(UKCP09)高排放情景。 地表洪水风险图(可提供时)包含以下内容: - 淹没范围 - 淹没水深 - 适宜场景下的洪水流速。 流速的展示与否需视具体情况而定,其判定依据为输入数据可信度、建模方法及影响评估结果。当前流速被划分为四个等级区间进行展示。 本数据集所采用的气候变化情景,基于英国2009年气候预测(UKCP09)中针对2080年高排放情景的95%分位数预测结果设定。 本次选取中、低概率洪水事件,旨在与苏格兰规划政策中采用的重现期标准保持一致;而高概率洪水事件的选取,则是为了反映近数十年间实际观测到的洪水事件特征。



