Plantation_Expansion_Probability_2020_2030.v1

This layer describes the probability of tree plantation expansion between 2020-2030 across Brazil. The layer is the output of a random forest model predicting plantation expansion based on a suite of socio-economic, spatial, and biophysical predictors, as fully described in Cerullo et al. 2024 (Global Change Biology). Probability of expansion denotes the probability that cells undergo a 5% expansion in tree plantation cover, with expansion is predicted for Class 3.3, Silvlicutura/Forest Plantation from the MapBiomas database (MapBiomas Version 7, 2022).本图层描述了2020至2030年间巴西境内人工林扩张的发生概率。该图层为基于一系列社会经济、空间及生物物理预测因子构建的随机森林模型（random forest model）的输出结果，其详细建模方法已在Cerullo等人2024年发表于《全球变化生物学（Global Change Biology）》的研究中完整阐述。此处的扩张概率指栅格单元的人工林覆盖度实现5%扩张的发生概率，本次预测的扩张对象为MapBiomas数据库（MapBiomas Version 7, 2022）中的3.3类Silvlicutura/Forest Plantation（人工林/森林种植园）。