Population in the future/circle level (middle variant results) – population 20 to under 65 years 2040, change from 2022 in %
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Thematic maps of the population. Share of population by age group in the total population 2022, 2040, 2070. Population change by age group in 2022 compared to 2040 and 2070 in %. Youth and old age quotients 2022, 2040 and 2070. The youth quotient indicates the number of people under the age of 20 to 100 people aged between 20 and 65, the age quotient is the number of 65 @-@years-olds and older people based on 100 people between the ages of 20 and 65. The data come from the sixth regionalised population projection (medium variant). The results of the population update to 31 are used as the basis for this forecast. December 2020. The birth rate will rise from 1.57 to 1.6 children per woman by 2025. After that, it will remain constant until 2070. Life expectancy increases from 83 to 85 years in women by 2040 and from 79 to 82 in men. By 2070, a further increase is assumed for women to 87 years and for men to 85 years. The projection assumes that the migration balance will increase from 17300 to 2025 to + 20000 persons per year. It will remain at this level until 2030. The balance then drops to + 15000 people by 2040. This is roughly the same as the long-term migration balance that Rhineland-Palatinate recorded on average per year between 1951 and 2020. From 2040 onwards, the balance remains constant until the end of the pre-calculation period. Population 20 to under 65 years 2040, change from 2022 in %.
人口专题地图(Thematic maps):涵盖2022年、2040年、2070年各年龄组人口占总人口的比例,以及2022年相较于2040年、2070年的各年龄组人口变化百分比。包含2022年、2040年、2070年的少年儿童抚养比(Youth Quotient)与老年抚养比(Old Age Quotient):其中少年儿童抚养比指每100名20至65岁劳动年龄人口对应的20岁以下人口数量;老年抚养比指每100名20至65岁劳动年龄人口对应的65岁及以上人口数量。本数据集数据源自第六次区域化人口预测(中等方案),以2020年12月31日的人口更新数据作为预测基准。本次预测设定的参数如下:总和生育率将从每名妇女1.57孩升至2025年的1.60孩,此后维持该水平直至2070年;女性预期寿命将从83岁提升至2040年的85岁,男性预期寿命将从79岁提升至82岁,至2070年预计女性预期寿命将进一步增至87岁,男性将增至85岁;人口净迁移差额将从17300人/年升至2025年的+20000人/年,并维持该水平至2030年,至2040年降至+15000人/年,该数值与德国莱茵兰-普法尔茨州1951年至2020年间的年均长期净迁移差额大致相当,2040年起净迁移差额将维持该水平直至预计算周期结束。此外包含2040年20至64岁劳动年龄人口较2022年的变化百分比。



