Workforce Forecasts

Transport Performance and Analytics (TPA) provides projections of workforce at the small area (Travel Zone or TZ) level for the Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area (GMA).\r\n\r\nThe GMA includes the Sydney Greater Capital City Statistical Area (GCCSA), the Southern Highlands and Shoalhaven SA4, Illawarra SA4, Newcastle and Lake Macquarie SA4, and Lower Hunter, Port Stephens, and Maitland SA3s, as defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).\r\nTPA workforce projections are five-yearly, from 2011 to 2056 and relate to usual residents of the GMA aged 15 years and over who are employed. They are estimates of employed people based on where they reside. TPA also produces employment projections based on the workplace or job location. They refer to persons aged 15 years and over, working in the GMA regardless of their place of usual residence. The majority of the persons employed in the GMA also reside in the GMA.\r\n\r\nFactors considered in the estimation of workforce projections include: population by age and gender; participation rates; unemployment rates; historical labour force data; past trends of employment in each industry and the forecasts of industry growth or decline in each region.\r\n

交通绩效与分析（Transport Performance and Analytics, TPA）可针对悉尼大都会区（Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area, GMA）的小区域（出行区域Travel Zone, TZ）层面的劳动力群体提供预测数据。

GMA的范围涵盖澳大利亚统计局（Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS）定义的悉尼大首府城市统计区（Sydney Greater Capital City Statistical Area, GCCSA）、南高地与肖尔黑文SA4、伊拉瓦拉SA4、纽卡斯尔与莱克麦夸里SA4，以及下亨特、斯蒂芬斯港与梅特兰SA3区域。

TPA的劳动力预测每五年更新一次，覆盖2011年至2056年，统计对象为GMA境内年满15周岁、处于就业状态的常住居民，该类预测基于就业者的居住地址进行估算。此外，TPA还可基于工作场所或岗位所在地生成就业预测数据，此类统计覆盖年满15周岁、在GMA境内就业的人群，无论其常住地是否位于GMA范围内。在GMA境内就业的人群中，绝大多数的常住地也处于GMA境内。

劳动力预测的估算过程中纳入的考量因素包括：分年龄与性别的人口、劳动参与率、失业率、历史劳动力数据、各行业过往就业趋势，以及各区域的行业增长或衰退预测。