River Flood Maps (FRM_FH_RIVER_VELOCITY_DIRECTION_L)
收藏资源简介:
These maps have been produced to meet SEPA’s duty to publish flood hazard maps as set out in the Flood Risk Management (Scotland) Act 2009. The maps show where there is a risk of flooding from the sea, from rivers and from surface water.The following probabilities are available for river flooding: - High - 10 year return period - Medium - 200 year return period - Low - 1000 year return period and 200 year return period plus climate change using the UKCP09 high emissions scenario for the 2080s.The river hazard maps show (where available): - Flood extent - Flood depth - Flood velocities where appropriate. The climate change scenario has been defined by United Kingdom Climate Projection 2009 (UKCP09) predictions for 2080 high emissions 95%ile predictions. Velocity is presented, where appropriate; this is determined by considering the confidence in input data, modelling method and impact. It is currently represented as one of four bandsMedium and low probability flood events were selected for consistency with return periods used in Scottish Planning Policy, whereas the high probability was chosen as it is reflective of observed events experienced over the last few decades.
本批洪水灾害地图系为履行苏格兰环境保护署(Scottish Environment Protection Agency, SEPA)依据《2009年洪水风险管理(苏格兰)法案》所规定的发布洪水灾害地图的法定职责而编制。本地图涵盖海洋、河流及地表积水引发的洪水风险区域。 针对河流洪水场景,提供以下概率分级: - 高概率:10年重现期 - 中概率:200年重现期 - 低概率:1000年重现期,以及结合2080年代英国气候预测2009(United Kingdom Climate Projection 2009, UKCP09)高排放情景的200年重现期气候变化场景。 河流灾害地图(如可获取)将展示以下内容: - 洪水淹没范围 - 洪水水深 - 适宜场景下的洪水流速。 上述气候变化场景基于英国气候预测2009(UKCP09)针对2080年高排放情景的95%分位数预测结果定义。流速信息将在满足展示条件的场景下予以呈现,其分级依据为输入数据、建模方法及影响评估的置信水平,当前共分为四个等级。 中、低概率洪水事件的选取标准与苏格兰规划政策中采用的重现期保持一致,而高概率事件的选取则旨在反映近数十年间观测到的实际洪水事件特征。



