Projections of the Aboriginal Populations: Total population with Aboriginal identity by age group and type of residence: Ontario 2001 to 2017 [Canada] [Excel]

The provide detailed statistical tables for 18 scenarios by single year of the projection period (2001 to 2017). For each of the scenarios, data are available for persons who identify with each of the following three groups: the North American Indian population, the Métis or the Inuit. All three groups were projected separately for each of the ten provinces and three territories. However, the subprovincial and subterritorial level shown for the three groups varies as it depends on the groups' size. For the North American Indians, future numbers were calculated for the urban parts of all census metropolitan areas (CMAs), urban areas outside CMAs, rural areas and reserves. For the Métis, places of residence were grouped into urban parts of CMAs, urban areas outside CMAs and rural areas, which also include reserves. Because of their relatively small size, the Inuit population was projected separately for urban and rural locations only. This information is further broken down by age and sex. The 18 scenarios, as well as scenario-specific assumptions on the future trend in fertility and internal migration, are presented in the table below. In addition to these two components of population growth, all scenarios assumed declining mortality and negligible importance of international migration to the change of the size of three Aboriginal groups. The statistical tables of this CD-ROM are organized into three sections: Aboriginal groups - The projected population by Aboriginal group, type of residence, province/territory and sex for the 18 scenarios by single year from 2001 to 2017; Age and sex - The projected population by Aboriginal group, type of residence, age group and sex for the 18 scenarios by single year from 2001 to 2017; and Province/territory - The projected total Aboriginal population by province/territory, age group, sex and type of residence for the 18 scenarios for 2001 and 2017. The statistical tables are supplementary to the publication Projections of the Aboriginal populations, Canada, provinces and territories: 2001 to 2017 (catalogue no. 91-547).

本数据集提供了预测期（2001年至2017年）内单一年度的18种情景的详细统计表格。针对每一种情景，数据覆盖以下三大群体：北美印第安人口（North American Indian population）、梅蒂人（Métis）以及因纽特人（Inuit）。上述三大群体均按加拿大的10个省和3个地区分别开展预测。不过，三大群体的省以下及地区以下统计层级的展示粒度存在差异，该差异取决于各群体的人口规模。
针对北美印第安人口，我们针对所有人口普查都会区（Census Metropolitan Areas，CMAs）的城区、都会区以外的城区、农村地区以及保留地分别计算了未来人口规模。针对梅蒂人，其居住地被划分为人口普查都会区的城区、都会区以外的城区以及农村地区，其中农村地区亦包含保留地。因纽特人口规模相对较小，因此仅按城区和农村地区分别进行预测。
上述统计信息还进一步按年龄与性别进行细分。18种情景及其针对各情景的生育率与国内迁移未来趋势假设，均列于下表。
除上述两个人口增长驱动因素外，所有情景均假设死亡率呈下降趋势，且国际移民对三大原住民群体（Aboriginal groups）人口规模变化的影响可忽略不计。
本光盘所载统计表格分为三个板块：
1. 原住民群体（Aboriginal groups）：按2001年至2017年的单一年度，针对18种情景，展示按原住民群体、居住类型、省/地区以及性别划分的预测人口；
2. 年龄与性别：按2001年至2017年的单一年度，针对18种情景，展示按原住民群体、居住类型、年龄组以及性别划分的预测人口；
3. 省/地区：针对2001年与2017年，针对18种情景，展示按省/地区、年龄组、性别以及居住类型划分的原住民总人口预测值。
本统计表格为《加拿大原住民人口预测（各省及地区：2001年至2017年）》（档案号：91-547）的补充资料。