Summary of Kappa statistic.

For each analyzed month, we present the kappa values and the strength of agreement assigned as proposed by Landis and Koch [38]. The kappa coefficient was evaluated based on two predictors (July prediction and monthly projection) and 95 occurrence data from July. The kappa coefficient evaluates the degree of agreement between predictors to catalog the occurrence data; thus, in months in which the area of prediction is little or null, the evaluation cannot be generated and it is indicated as NA.