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Gold prices jumped over 1% on Friday to a fresh record high of $3595 per ounce, after a weaker-than-expected US jobs report boosted bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. The US economy added just 22K jobs in August, well below forecasts of 75K, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%, the highest since 2021 and in line with expectations. The data underscored a cooling labor market and reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut rates later this month, with markets now pricing in about 66bps of easing for 2025. For the week, bullion is set to gain nearly 3%—its best weekly performance in three months—supported not only by rate-cut bets but also by concerns over the Fed’s independence, heightened political risks, and a steepening yield curve amid inflation concerns.

周五，黄金价格跳涨逾1%，创下每盎司3595美元的全新历史高位；此前美国公布的就业数据弱于预期，提振了市场对美联储（Federal Reserve）降息的押注。美国8月仅新增2.2万个就业岗位，远低于市场预期的7.5万个；与此同时失业率攀升至4.3%，为2021年以来新高，符合市场此前预期。上述数据凸显了劳动力市场的降温态势，进一步强化了市场对美联储将于本月晚些时候降息的预期；目前市场已计价2025年约66个基点（basis points，bps）的降息幅度。本周黄金有望累计上涨近3%，为三个月以来最佳周度表现；其支撑因素不仅包括降息押注，还包括对美联储独立性的担忧、加剧的政治风险，以及通胀担忧背景下收益率曲线的陡峭化。