Austria’s National Air Emission Projections for 2010-2030

The report “Austria’s National Air Emission Projections 2010-2030” presents emission projections reported under the UN/ECE Convention on Long-Range Transboudary Air Pollution. It includes projections for the air pollutants NOx, SO2, NMVOC and NH3 for the years 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2030. The projections for NOx show a remarkable reduction of emissions until 2030. For SO2 no further significant reductions are expected. NMVOC emissions are projected to increase after 2010. For ammonia, a further decrease of emissions in 2010 followed by a relatively constant trend is reported. The comparison with national emission ceiling for 2010 shows compliance for the pollutants SO2, NMVOC and NH3. According to the current projections, the NOx emissions are expected to exceed the emission ceiling considerably. The results are based on a scenario which accounts for all measures implemented before 2nd February 2010 (“with existing measures” scenario).《奥地利2010-2030年全国大气排放预测报告》（Austria’s National Air Emission Projections 2010-2030）基于《联合国欧洲经济委员会远距离跨界大气污染公约》（UN/ECE Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution）框架下提交的排放预测数据编制而成。该报告涵盖了2010、2015、2020及2030年氮氧化物（NOx）、二氧化硫（SO2）、非甲烷挥发性有机化合物（NMVOC）和氨（NH3）这四类大气污染物的排放预测数据。其中氮氧化物的排放预测显示，至2030年其排放量将实现显著下降；就二氧化硫而言，预计其排放量不会出现进一步的显著削减；非甲烷挥发性有机化合物的排放量预计将在2010年后呈现增长态势；氨的排放预测则显示，2010年排放量有所下降，后续将维持相对平稳的态势。将2010年的预测排放量与国家排放上限进行对比后可见，二氧化硫、非甲烷挥发性有机化合物及氨均符合排放限值要求。基于当前预测，氮氧化物排放量将大幅超出国家排放上限。本次分析结果基于截至2010年2月2日已实施的所有管控措施所构建的情景（即"现有措施"情景）得出。