Replication Data for: Historical Legacies of Interethnic Competition: Anti-Semitism and the EU Referendum in Poland

How do historical legacies shape contemporary political outcomes? The article proposes a novel attitudinal mechanism through which distant interethnic competition can influence political preferences in the present. It theorizes that historically conditioned predispositions at the local level can moderate the effects of national-level framing of a policy issue. Using Poland as a test case, I show that subnational variation in support for EU accession was influenced by populist claims about the increase in Jewish influence in the post-accession period. Anti-Semitic cues resonated with voters in areas with historically large Jewish populations and a contentious interethnic past, where latent anti-Semitism persisted throughout the Communist period. To provide evidence for this argument, the article draws on rich historical and contemporary data at the county, town, and individual level of analysis and utilizes novel research methods.历史遗产如何塑造当代政治后果？本文提出了一种全新的态度传导机制，借此久远的族际竞争能够影响当下的政治偏好。本文构建理论假说认为，地方层面受历史形塑的倾向性态度，能够调节国家层面政策议题框架所产生的影响。本文以波兰为检验案例，研究表明：民众对欧盟入盟的支持率存在次国家层面的差异，该差异受到民粹主义主张的影响——后者宣称入盟后时期犹太影响力将有所提升。反犹主义暗示在那些历史上犹太人口众多、族际过往充满争端的地区获得了选民的共鸣，这些地区的隐性反犹主义在整个共产主义时期始终存续。为佐证本文的核心论点，研究依托了丰富的历史与当代数据，涵盖县、乡镇以及个体三个分析层级，并采用了新颖的研究方法。