Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record: supplementary metadata

This repository contains data and code used in the following study:<br>Kewei Lyu, Xuebin Zhang, &amp; John A. Church. Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record. <i>Nature Climate Change</i> (2021), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01151-1<br>The following items are included: <br><b>README.txt</b><br><br>% More detailed information<br><br><b>data.mat</b><br>% all required data for main figures<br><br><b>Figure_1.m </b><br>% code to plot three panels of Figure 1<br><br><b>Figure_2.m </b><br>% code to plot five panels of Figure 2<br><b>Figure_3.m </b><br>% code to plot two panels of Figure 3 and to derive constrained projections as reported in this paper based on emergent constraint methodology<br><br><i>Upper-2000m OHC (ZJ): 2081-2100 relative to 2005-2019 under SSP5-8.5</i><i>50% (17-83%) [5-95%]</i><i>------------------</i><i>Original: 1862.6 (1694.7 - 2417.1) [1565.6 - 2594.7]</i><i>Constrained: 1858.6 (1545.7 - 2169.9) [1319.7 - 2391.8]</i><i> </i><i><br></i><i>Upper-2000m thermosteric sea level (cm): 2081-2100 relative to 2005-2019 under SSP5-8.5</i><i>50% (17-83%) [5-95%]</i><i>------------------</i><i>Original: 23.2 ( 21.4 - 30.4) [ 18.9 - 33.1]</i><i>Constrained: 21.7 ( 17.4 - 25.9) [ 14.3 - 28.9]</i><br><b>Figure_3_for_comparison_with_AR6.m</b><br>% similar as Figure_3.m but using Argo record to constrain full-depth projections relative to AR6 baseline period 1995-2014<br><i>Full-depth OHC (ZJ): 2081-2100 relative to 1995-2014 under SSP5-8.5</i><i>50% (17-83%) [5-95%]</i><i>------------------</i><i>Original: 2154.3 (1953.9 - 2567.2) [1759.6 - 2874.7]</i><i>Constrained: 2103.2 (1803.1 - 2401.9) [1581.7 - 2621.8]</i><i>AR6 (Table 9.1): 2230 ( 1920 - 2640) [ 1710 - 3000]</i><i> </i><i><br></i><i>Full-depth thermosteric sea level (cm): 2081-2100 relative to 1995-2014 under SSP5-8.5</i><i>50% (17-83%) [5-95%]</i><i>------------------</i><i>Original: 26.1 ( 23.5 - 32.4) [ 22.0 - 36.1]</i><i>Constrained: 24.4 ( 20.3 - 28.5) [ 17.3 - 31.4]</i><i>AR6 (Table 9.1): 25 ( 20 - 30) [ 18 - 35]</i><br><b>trend.m</b> <br>% code to calculate linear trend (obtained online)<br><br><b>rgb.m</b><b><br></b> % code for colours used in some plots (obtained online)