Data - Pathways to Net Zero Emissions: An Australian Perspective on Rapid Decarbonisation

Data and charts for figures of CSIRO's 'Pathways to Net Zero Emissions - An Australian Perspective on Rapid Decarbonisation' technical report. \n\nThis work has been funded by the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) to contribute to our collective understanding of potential decarbonisation pathways for Australia, consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. In addition to providing funding for this work, CBA facilitated stakeholder consultation and reviewed the utility of this information for private sector target setting. We thank participants from the Electricity, Buildings, Transport, Iron and Steel, Aluminium and Cement sectors for their input. \n\nLineage: The data results from a set of models that drew on the IEA energy and sectoral pathways (World Energy Outlook 2021) at the global level by incorporating these into CSIRO’s Global Trade and Environment Model (GTEM) producing two scenarios for Australia. CSIRO Rapid Decarbonisation (CRD) based on a rapid but plausible decarbonisation pathway to net zero for Australia aligned with the IEA’s NZE global 1.5°C carbon budget. CSIRO Stated Policies (CSP) based on stated policies internationally and within Australia, which projects a 2.6°C temperature increase by 2100. \n\nThe data was produced using CSIRO's Global Trade and Environment Model (GTEM), KPMG’s Energy and Environment model (KPMG-EE) and CSIRO and ClimateWorks’ Australian TIMES (AusTIMES) models. These models were used to develop detailed technology pathways across energy, transport, buildings, steel, aluminium and cement. Australia’s emissions (CO2 plus non-CO2) budget for the period reflects (i) the response by Australian sectors to the global CO2 and non-CO2 carbon prices, and (ii) assumptions regarding LULUCF (land use, land-use change and forestry) emissions and carbon removal technologies. \n\nFeedback on the detailed sector-by-sector pathways was obtained through consultation with a range of industry experts to assist in calibrating to the Australian context. Modelling has been completed by CSIRO as an independent subject matter expert and primary authors of this report. \n\nScenarios don’t describe what will happen, or what should happen. Rather, they explore the consequences of a set of possible actions and events in the future. As such, scenarios are not predictions, plans or strategy. Instead they are imagined or projected possibilities of a path towards net zero for Australia.