Victory or Repudiation? The Probability of the Southern Confederacy Winning the Civil War
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Historians have long wondered whether the Southern Confederacy had a realistic chance at winning the American Civil War. We provide some quantitative evidence on this question by introducing a new methodology for estimating the probability of winning a civil war or revolution based on decisions in
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
2007-11-01
