Population forecast; key figures, 2023-2070

This table provides forecasts of the population of the Netherlands on 1 January by age (three groups) and population development: the number of children born alive, the number of deceased and foreign migration. In addition, the table shows the demographic pressure, the total fertility rate per woman and the period-life expectancy at birth and on the 65th birthday by sex.

The period-life expectancy, calculated from a period survival table, is a summary measure of mortality rates in a calendar year. It indicates how old people would be on average if the mortality rates per-age of that year were to apply throughout their lives. See section 4 for an explanation of the difference between the period survival table and a cohort survival table.

Forecast intervals are also included in the table.

Data available: 2023-2070

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecast figures.

Amendments as of 15 December 2023:
None, this is a new table in which the previous forecast has been adjusted on the basis of the observations now available. The forecast period now runs from 2023 to 2070.

When will there be new figures?
The frequency of appearance of this table is one-off. In December 2024, a new table with the forecast of the population was published.

本表格提供荷兰1月1日的人口预测（按年龄分为三组）及人口动态指标：活产婴儿数、死亡人数与外籍移民人数。此外，本表还展示了人口压力（demographic pressure）、每名妇女的总和生育率（total fertility rate），以及分性别的时期预期寿命（period-life expectancy）——包括出生时期预期寿命与65岁时期预期寿命。

时期预期寿命（period-life expectancy）基于时期生命表（period survival table）计算得出，是某一日历年度死亡率的汇总测度指标，其含义为：若某年度分年龄死亡率贯穿人的一生，则该年度出生的人群平均预期存活年龄。有关时期生命表（period survival table）与队列生命表（cohort survival table）的差异说明，请参见第4节。

表格中同时包含预测区间。

数据覆盖时段：2023年—2070年

数据状态：本表所有数据均为经计算得到的预测值。

截至2023年12月15日的修订情况：无修订。本表为全新表格，基于当前可获取的观测数据对此前的预测进行了调整，本次预测时段为2023年至2070年。

何时更新数据？本表为一次性发布表格。2024年12月已发布包含人口预测内容的全新表格。