Global Expected Health Spending 2017-2050

Research by the Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network produced projected health spending estimates for 2017-2050 for 195 countries and territories. The estimates cover total health spending, and health spending disaggregated by source into three domestic financing source categories (government, out-of-pocket, and prepaid private) and development assistance for health (DAH). Retrospective health spending estimates for 1995-2016 and key covariates (including GDP per capita, total government spending, total fertility rate, and fraction of the population older than 65 years) were used to forecast GDP and health spending through 2050. Estimates are reported in constant 2018 US dollars, constant 2018 purchasing-power parity-adjusted (PPP) dollars, and as a percent of gross domestic product.全球疾病负担卫生筹资协作网络（Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network）的研究团队，针对195个国家和地区生成了2017至2050年的卫生支出预测估算结果。该估算涵盖卫生总支出，以及按筹资来源拆分的三类国内筹资渠道：政府出资、自费医疗支出、预付式私人筹资，另包含卫生发展援助（Development Assistance for Health, DAH）。研究采用1995至2016年的回顾性卫生支出估算数据与关键协变量（包括人均国内生产总值、政府总支出、总生育率及65岁以上人口占比），对2050年前的国内生产总值与卫生支出进行预测。所有估算结果均以三种口径发布：2018年不变价美元、2018年不变价购买力平价（Purchasing-Power Parity, PPP）调整美元，以及卫生支出占国内生产总值的百分比。