Fine-scale population differences in Atlantic cod reproductive success: a potential mechanism for ecological speciation in a marine fish

Successful resource-management and conservation outcomes ideally depend on matching the spatial scales of population demography, local adaptation, and threat mitigation. For marine fish with high dispersal capabilities, this remains a fundamental challenge. Based on daily parentage assignments of more than 4000 offspring, we document fine-scaled temporal differences in individual reproductive success for two spatially adjacent (<10km) populations of a broadcast-spawning marine fish. Distinguished by differences in genetics and life history, Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) from inner- and outer-fjord populations were allowed to compete for mating and reproductive opportunities. After accounting for phenotypic variability in several traits, reproductive success of outer-fjord cod was significantly lower than that of inner-fjord cod. This finding, given that genomically different cod ecotypes inhabit inner- and outer-fjord waters, raises the intriguing hypothesis that the populations might ...